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Sunday, March 16, 2008

British pound impacts

GAs we wrote last week, the direction of the Dollar may be influenced more by external economic events rather than by internal activity. Accordingly, it would behoove forex traders to direct their attention away from the Fed and towards the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, both of which face important monetary policy decisions later in the month. With regard to the Bank of England, futures markets have priced in a 2/3 chance that rates will be cut by 25 basis points. In the case of the ECB, the markets are expecting rates to be maintained at current levels. However, analysts will be scrutinizing the Banks' respective press releases and monitoring other developments in this area due to the implications for the US-EU-Britain interest rate differential. Reuters reports:
Some analysts think that hawkish comments from Trichet will be brushed aside with weaker economic data leading to the prospect of falling euro zone rates later in the year.

Gold vs Dollar

Gold has been a poor investment for many years. This is a statement which is almost universally accepted in today's world, but one which is only partially true. The truth is that gold has been a very poor investment when measured in US dollars, but has generally proven to be a sound investment when measured in terms of almost any other national currency. The Indians and the Chinese, the world's largest buyers of gold, have seen the value of their gold investments increase by approximately 200% over the last decade. Due to a collapse in their national currencies, South East Asians and Koreans have also seen the value of owning gold .
The US dollar reached a cyclical low in April 1995, from which it has risen over 50% against the Yen and 30% against the Deutsche Mark . This means that German and Japanese investors who exchanged their national currency for gold in April 95 would now be showing a profit on their investment, despite a 21% decrease in the US dollar gold price over the same period.
What we have witnessed over the past 2.5 years is a massive shift of investment capital into the US dollar from all other currencies, including gold. Investors around the world have placed enormous faith in the US dollar and, therefore, in the US economic, financial and political system which supports the dollar. Gold has been a victim of this flight to the US dollar, although it has fared better than many of the government controlled forms of money

Thursday, March 6, 2008

Getting started with mini Forex trading

Mini Forex trading requires only about $250 to begin and can provide huge amounts of
leverage in the currency trading world. Unlike traditional forex trading which requires that
you trade in 100,000 units of currency blocks, you can put just 10% of this amount at risk.
Transaction costs are limited to the "spread" between the price you can buy and sell, which
is usually about 3 pips. 1 pip is equal to 0.0001 units of currency. Forex trading involves
trading pairs of two currencies, such as the US Dollar and the Euro. If you wish to go
"long" this contract, then you would buy 100,000 US Dollars and sell short the equivalent of
100,000$ of Euros. Forex trading is fascinating and can lead to huge windfalls or
disappoinment. Trade carefully.

There Are Mini Forex Trading Rules That Can Increase in Your Chances Of Stock Market Success

To operate effectively in any mini forex trading environment, you need rules and boundaries
to guide your behaviour. No matter what mini forex trading “system” you’ve developed, the
potential exists to do financial damage to yourself - damage that can be greater than you
think is possible. There are many types of trades in which the risk of loss is unlimited.

To prevent this kind of mini forex trading loss, you need to create an internal structure in
the form of guidelines that determine your mini forex trading behaviour so you always act in
your own best interest. This structure has to be internal because the mini forex trading
market won’t provide it for you. The markets provide structure in the form of behaviour
patterns that indicate when an opportunity to buy or sell exists. But that's where the
structure ends - with a simple indication. Nothing happens until you decide to start mini
forex trading; you continue to trade as long as you want; and there is no end until you
decide to stop.